It’s Just a Matter of Time Before the “Big One” in Southern California

Posted on August 20, 2010


An aerial view of the San Andreas fault in the...

Image via Wikipedia

Living on borrowed time?  Well, a new report says Southern California is long overdue for a major earthquake. 

From the L.A. Times

Southern California is overdue for a major earthquake along the San Andreas fault, according to a landmark study released Friday. 

The long-awaited study came after scientists spent years studying the geology of the Carrizo Plain area of the San Andreas, which is about 100 miles northwest of Los Angeles. It found that earthquakes along the San Andreas fault have occurred far more often than previously believed. 

“What we know is for the last 700 years, earthquakes on the southern San Andreas fault have been much more frequent than everyone thought,” said UC Irvine researcher Sinan Akciz said in a statement. “Data presented here contradict previously published reports.” 

The last massive earthquake on that part of the fault occurred in 1857. But researchers from UC Irvine and Arizona State University found that earthquakes have occurred as often as every 45 to 144 years. 

That would make the region overdue for the type of catastrophic quake often referred to as “The Big One.” 

 The good news?  Arizona is just next door and the housing is cheap.  But please, just remember to check your politics at the state line . 😉 

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Posted in: California